Far-Flung-Agony
0x94b8f63fea1af7b491c82a1344a57488393440ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
57
Open notional
$24.95
Total PnL
$-191.73
Realised
$0.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
Will anyone say "Dragon" 20+ times during House of the Dragon E6 S3?
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$12.13
$2.13
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
8 shares @ 51.3¢·now 50.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.91
$-0.09
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
8 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.88
$-0.12
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
3 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.05
$0.05
- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will Herculano Armando Bequinsa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
7 shares @ 14.9¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.11
$-0.89
- YES
Will the US strike Yemen next?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?
202 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?
144 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-56.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Dragon" 20+ times during House of the Dragon E6 S3?$10.24Jul 23, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Flora vs. The New Saints FC end in a draw? AND Will Helsingin JK vs. Coleraine FC end in a draw?$1.00Jul 23, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.07Jun 28, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$1.03Jun 28, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$1.43Jun 28, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$3.40Jun 28, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$6.08Jun 28, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$5.04May 16, 22:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$1.47May 16, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$3.23May 16, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?$4.44May 16, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$1.00Apr 26, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$1.00Apr 26, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$2.00Apr 26, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$1.00Apr 26, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$2.00Apr 26, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.00Apr 26, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Apr 26, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$20.00Apr 26, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$2.00Apr 26, 21:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $4.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 18:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 13:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.