Frigid-Dig
0x955118f2d3c3ab2976e7294166832428a7898c45
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-359.61
Realised
$-2.12
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
1505 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$7.53
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
181 shares @ 96.5¢·now 96.6¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$175.19
$0.20
- NO
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
45 shares @ 85.2¢·now 73.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.98
$-5.36
- NO
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
74 shares @ 61.0¢·now 14.2¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$10.57
$-34.68
- NO
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?
35 shares @ 85.4¢·now 27.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$9.59
$-20.30
- YES
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?
91 shares @ 64.2¢·now 5.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.91
$-53.39
- NO
Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?
5 shares @ 69.4¢·now 98.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.87
$1.44
- NO
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.77
$0.17
- NO
Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
4 shares @ 69.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$4.10
$1.24
- NO
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Song Yadong next?
4 shares @ 55.4¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.84
$1.62
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.12Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?$175.00Jul 14, 13:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$4.85Jul 11, 15:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $175.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 12:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.