Busy-Doorpost
0x9690d9f51b618222c29567c3b39aac2935a5f2d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$25.1K
Total PnL
$136.24
Realised
$2.1K
Win rate
54%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
3000 shares @ 90.7¢·now 96.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.9K
$162.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
2836 shares @ 76.8¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$246.53
- NO
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
1700 shares @ 90.2¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$4.65
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
2300 shares @ 40.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.4K
$494.51
- NO
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
4547 shares @ 39.7¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$-510.88
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
1700 shares @ 48.4¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.2K
$419.00
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
1000 shares @ 97.6¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$983.00
$7.00
- NO
Will Alberta join the US?
1000 shares @ 95.1¢·now 96.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$964.00
$13.00
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
10000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$949.99
$-50.00
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
1000 shares @ 87.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$905.00
$35.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$95.80Jun 13, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$8.24Jun 13, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$26.09Jun 13, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$20.07Jun 13, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$41.74Jun 13, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.22Jun 13, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1.60Jun 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$74.00Jun 13, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$61.66Jun 13, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$2.58Jun 13, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?$1.1KJun 13, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$111.20Jun 13, 05:32 UTC
- TRADESELLTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$44.51Jun 13, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.00Jun 13, 03:36 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.62Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$20.45Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.00Jun 12, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$2.8KJun 12, 21:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $125.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 05:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.