Jaded-Boom
0x9720ecda7f1d5307ab7d6f3fd6f1e0b42459f4d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$106.43
Total PnL
$-300.38
Realised
$10.98
Win rate
48%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
100 shares @ 81.4¢·now 52.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$52.95
$-28.45
- NO
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?
51 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$51.00
$16.32
- YES
Rippling IPO before 2027?
12 shares @ 39.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.74
$-2.94
- NO
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 24.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.74
$0.51
- NO
Will One Battle After Another win Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?
639 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-63.90
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
513 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-63.75
- YES
Will Atrium Academy win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
227 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
212 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-72.08
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?
84 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-19.32
- YES
Will Jon M. Chu be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
53 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?$1.00May 20, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Julian Sayin win the Heisman Trophy?$1.00May 20, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00May 20, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?$1.00May 20, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?$1.00May 20, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00May 20, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$1.00May 20, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerami Grant win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?$1.00May 20, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be at least 72%?$2.00May 20, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?$3.00May 20, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arco be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.00May 20, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMTransgender women be banned from the Olympics before Winter Games?$4.00May 20, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$7.00May 20, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Golden - KPop Demon Hunters" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$27.00May 20, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (Sentimental Value) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$49.97May 20, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?$53.52May 20, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$88.00May 20, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$205.00May 20, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMCerebras IPO before 2027?$328.00May 20, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?$6.27Apr 21, 04:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
48% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $54.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 11:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 09:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.