Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?
Probability
17¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$71.78
Liquidity
$18.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 901.1h
- 10:55SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 901h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 10:55PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 17¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 17¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 17¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 17¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 17¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 17¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 17¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 17¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 17¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 18¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 18¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 18¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 19¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 19¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 19¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 19¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party. In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other". If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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