0x9722b812bafd8605722785c757e2cd32c7cc5304
0x9722b812bafd8605722785c757e2cd32c7cc5304
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$562.77
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$-69.26
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
250 shares @ 90.2¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$237.38
$11.88
- NO
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
213 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$203.51
$3.51
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
100 shares @ 71.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$93.80
$22.80
- YES
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?
500 shares @ 20.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.50
$-87.50
- YES
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?
173 shares @ 33.1¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.08
$-48.17
- YES
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
100 shares @ 75.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.50
$-68.50
- NO
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
798 shares @ 74.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-597.60
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
700 shares @ 52.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-367.00
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
643 shares @ 41.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-269.00
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
405 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-113.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMOpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?$5.00Jul 19, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?$100.00Jul 19, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$99.99Jun 21, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?$681.70Jun 21, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$1.05Jan 31, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during January press conference?$0.00Jan 29, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Stock Market" during January press conference?$0.00Jan 29, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Median" during January press conference?$0.00Jan 29, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?$0.00Jan 29, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "SEP" 4+ times during January press conference?$0.00Jan 29, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?$100.00Jan 29, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$23.73Jan 29, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during January press conference?$50.05Jan 29, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Stock Market" during January press conference?$90.91Jan 29, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Median" during January press conference?$100.31Jan 29, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?$101.17Jan 29, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "SEP" 4+ times during January press conference?$200.97Jan 29, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during January press conference?$50.00Jan 28, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "SEP" 4+ times during January press conference?$100.00Jan 28, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "SEP" 4+ times during January press conference?$100.00Jan 28, 20:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $73.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 18:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 21:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.