Decimal-Trooper
0x97afda90095deb8cbc9eac46acc2a79ab2569bc6
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$58.3K
Total PnL
$-6.0K
Realised
$2.1K
Win rate
73%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.9K
$5.9K
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
7000 shares @ 78.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.1K
$665.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
6000 shares @ 82.3¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.9K
$10.04
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
5000 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.6K
$25.00
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.1K
$-5.9K
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
4085 shares @ 84.6¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.0K
$504.00
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
4000 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.7K
$220.00
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
4704 shares @ 61.1¢·now 71.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$3.4K
$488.27
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
7000 shares @ 32.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.2K
$1.33
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
3350 shares @ 44.6¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.2K
$667.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?$11.50Aug 19, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?$92.00Aug 19, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?$19.00Aug 19, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?$11.50Aug 19, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?$19.00Aug 19, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?$23.00Aug 19, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?$19.00Aug 19, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?$79.68Aug 19, 01:16 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$6.29Aug 19, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.49Aug 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$2.81Aug 19, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?$54.16Aug 19, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?$398.56Aug 19, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?$712.50Aug 19, 00:03 UTC
- REWARD$8.53Aug 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?$40.80Aug 18, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$499.50Aug 18, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crazy" during remarks in New York?$0.00Aug 18, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crazy" during remarks in New York?$0.00Aug 18, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$14.84Aug 18, 17:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
73% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $102.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 23:19 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 01:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.