Elegant-Trolley
0x97ed75a7876774c75bf128ce7f7aaec56fbb28e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-69.16
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
878 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$878.00
$0.88
- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
647 shares @ 64.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$397.90
$-16.18
- YES
Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by April 30?
348 shares @ 89.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$348.00
$35.84
- YES
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 86.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.30
$-11.76
- NO
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
2 shares @ 90.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.99
$0.17
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
2 shares @ 31.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.58
$-0.04
- YES
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
1 shares @ 16.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.30
$0.14
- YES
Will Efecto be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
625 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-231.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9AM ET
464 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-227.36
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 3 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?
371 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-185.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$47.16Apr 27, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$40.40Apr 27, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$143.46Apr 23, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$32.55Apr 12, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$29.14Apr 12, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$31.00Apr 12, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$231.84Apr 11, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$46.08Apr 10, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$49.60Apr 10, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$82.29Apr 9, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$13.56Apr 9, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$414.08Apr 8, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$206.08Apr 8, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by April 30?$312.16Apr 8, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$104.44Apr 8, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sentimental Value win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 16, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$35.00Mar 16, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.10Mar 4, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria in 2025?$1.00Mar 4, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMSiena Saints vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 135.5$697.00Mar 4, 04:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $119.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 19:59 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.