0x98009f2643e45c779b892b7de6ac868455fe9a33
0x98009f2643e45c779b892b7de6ac868455fe9a33
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$265.24
Total PnL
$56.87
Realised
$-0.51
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 13?
55 shares @ 78.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$55.14
$12.07
- YES
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
51 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.20
$13.31
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
49 shares @ 81.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$48.95
$8.96
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
30 shares @ 69.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.64
$8.93
- NO
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
28 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$27.95
$7.27
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
28 shares @ 75.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.68
$6.01
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
27 shares @ 79.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.81
$2.79
- NO
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
2 shares @ 86.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$1.87
$0.25
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
25 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.88
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
9 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 13?$28.02Apr 13, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 13?$0.01Apr 13, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 13?$6.09Apr 13, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$23.22Apr 13, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 13?$0.75Apr 13, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 13?$0.09Apr 13, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 13?$0.08Apr 13, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 13?$44.77Apr 13, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 13?$43.76Apr 13, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$23.34Apr 13, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$28.20Apr 13, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$29.20Apr 13, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$2.65Apr 13, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.06Apr 13, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.06Apr 13, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$5.30Apr 13, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$4.96Apr 13, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$4.80Apr 13, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%?$21.50Apr 13, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%?$0.63Apr 13, 12:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $18.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 15:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 16:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.