Orderly-Guess
0x9833960ab6621bc5ada4ee0c6d2b2913994f0b32
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$4.3K
Total PnL
$379.81
Realised
$444.64
Win rate
57%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
2398 shares @ 45.5¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$192.57
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2398 shares @ 44.9¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$851.23
$-225.84
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
1254 shares @ 69.5¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$639.32
$-231.73
- NO
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
1258 shares @ 27.2¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$609.99
$267.73
- NO
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
647 shares @ 85.8¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$565.80
$10.86
- YES
Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?
197 shares @ 73.6¢·now 61.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$120.42
$-24.93
- YES
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?
719 shares @ 12.8¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$82.63
$-9.05
- NO
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Petr Yan next?
201 shares @ 22.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.30
$24.03
- NO
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
85 shares @ 66.1¢·now 47.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.43
$-15.82
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.09
$-8.91
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.12Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$20.48Jun 1, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$147.20Jun 1, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? $0.01Jun 1, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?$0.98Jun 1, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?$0.15Jun 1, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Merab Dvalishvili fight Petr Yan next?$6.31Jun 1, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?$22.47Jun 1, 04:39 UTC
- MERGEWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$0.15Jun 1, 04:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $24.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 09:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.