Orderly-Guess
0x9833960ab6621bc5ada4ee0c6d2b2913994f0b32
Quality score
93/100
Open positions
25
Open notional
$3.9K
Total PnL
$155.68
Realised
$307.47
Win rate
53%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
2398 shares @ 45.5¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$-47.21
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2398 shares @ 44.9¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$923.17
$-153.91
- NO
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
765 shares @ 86.1¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$676.70
$18.31
- NO
Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?
247 shares @ 88.8¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$230.66
$11.00
- YES
Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?
228 shares @ 73.4¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$160.93
$-6.63
- YES
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
232 shares @ 58.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$128.76
$-5.80
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
102 shares @ 91.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$96.00
$2.61
- NO
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Petr Yan next?
230 shares @ 21.9¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.52
$45.03
- NO
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?
99 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$94.59
$-0.45
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
201 shares @ 40.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$89.33
$9.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$2.804h ago
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$2.204h ago
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$4.484h ago
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$3.524h ago
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$26.245h ago
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO before 2027?$15.075h ago
- YIELD$0.0713h ago
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$3.5023h ago
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$10.5023h ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$10.081d ago
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO before 2027?$5.601d ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$15.501d ago
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO before 2027?$9.001d ago
- YIELD$0.082d ago
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?$66.582d ago
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$6.082d ago
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO before 2027?$5.672d ago
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$2.722d ago
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?$30.602d ago
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$10.962d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $23.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.