Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Petr Yan next?
Probability
66¢
1h
+7.0pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$103.08
Probability (last 7 days)
-3.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 66¢; +7.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5986h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 39.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5986.2h
- 13:50SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5986h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:49PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 65¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 61¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 59¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 59¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 69¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 71¢
- 04:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 70¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 67¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 67¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 63¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 63¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 64¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 65¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 65¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 65¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 64¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 67¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 61¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 69¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 71¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 64¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 56¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (39.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).