Single-Harald
0x98fdd65c68f447a21624a527006ea772467206d8
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$21.95
Total PnL
$-16.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
56 shares @ 36.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$19.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will "Shit" be said 10+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$2.22
$0.24
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 1, 2026?
133 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?
25 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?
24 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 11?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Shit" be said 10+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?$2.016h ago
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$20.516h ago
- TRADESELLWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$13.096h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$0.606h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$3.116h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$0.006h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$8.246h ago
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?$2.218h ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$4.0912h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?$1.0717h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$5.1317h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?$2.0717h ago
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$12.8117h ago
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?$8.621d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?$10.211d ago
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?$4.501d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$0.371d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$3.181d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$0.311d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$1.061d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $6.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 11d ago
- Last active
- 6h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
