Chubby-Atelier
0x99cdf98f1e72f423bf7d7647c43a54e90f8ebafb
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$73.33
Total PnL
$-616.78
Realised
$4.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?
50 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$50.00
$8.50
- YES
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
17 shares @ 49.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$16.92
$8.49
- NO
Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$6.13
$0.74
- YES
Will Bruce Walden advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
8 shares @ 10.3¢·now 3.3¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.28
$-0.60
- YES
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
423 shares @ 42.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-181.14
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
152 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-86.67
- YES
Will Trump say "Trump-Kennedy Center" or "Trump Kennedy" in April?
150 shares @ 45.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-68.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 11?
112 shares @ 47.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-52.72
- NO
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
107 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-62.26
- UP
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 10?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.80 Week of April 13 2026?$14.64Apr 18, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$52.47Apr 18, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?$0.55Apr 18, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMEWY (EWY) Up or Down on April 13?$40.00Apr 18, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tisza win at least 120 seats?$100.00Apr 18, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMSPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 13?$126.67Apr 18, 05:57 UTC
- REWARD$19.35Apr 13, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$179.64Apr 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$25.12Apr 12, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win at least 120 seats?$67.00Apr 12, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$23.86Apr 12, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-04-12?$10.00Apr 12, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 13?$3.17Apr 12, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 13?$20.67Apr 12, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$5.39Apr 12, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Júbilo Iwata win on 2026-04-12?$8.38Apr 12, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.80 Week of April 13 2026?$9.38Apr 12, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.80 Week of April 13 2026?$6.19Apr 12, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$47.27Apr 12, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLSPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 13?$26.25Apr 12, 07:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $16.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 16:58 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 05:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.