Unpleasant-Facelift
0x9a0135549fa8eada47b395fa31da13a6253b0c8d
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$26.89
Total PnL
$-13.97
Realised
$-5.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
5 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.35
$-0.05
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.13
$-0.38
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
28 shares @ 7.1¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.81
$-0.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 22?
22 shares @ 5.0¢·now 6.9¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$1.52
$0.42
- YES
Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?
20 shares @ 5.3¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.15
$0.09
- YES
Will Beyoncé perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
30 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$1.06
$-0.14
- YES
Will Rihanna perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
30 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$1.03
$-0.17
- YES
Will Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
25 shares @ 4.8¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$1.01
$-0.19
- YES
Will Travis Scott perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
25 shares @ 4.3¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.97
$-0.09
- YES
Grok 4.4 released by June 30?
20 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.90
$-0.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Eminem perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$0.21Jun 20, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21?$0.03Jun 20, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in June?$0.72Jun 20, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye West have a #1 hit in June?$0.47Jun 20, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21?$0.60Jun 20, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 4.4 released by June 30?$1.25Jun 20, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21?$0.49Jun 20, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 22?$1.15Jun 20, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 22?$0.87Jun 20, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 100 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?$1.13Jun 20, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$1.07Jun 20, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$0.64Jun 20, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?$1.11Jun 20, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?$1.20Jun 20, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake have a #1 hit in June?$0.21Jun 20, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye West have a #1 hit in June?$0.41Jun 20, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kendrick Lamar perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$0.24Jun 20, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$1.26Jun 20, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eminem perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$0.64Jun 20, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Mars perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$1.13Jun 20, 05:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $0.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 17:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 11:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.