Tragic-Practitioner
0x9a250e03e9a151482d8b27903e8328b86e216d20
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
74
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-13.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- NO
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?
724 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$723.98
$33.58
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
114 shares @ 88.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$101.70
$1.70
- YES
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?
60 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$59.99
$11.40
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
58 shares @ 86.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$56.72
$6.72
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
233 shares @ 43.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.05
$-63.95
- YES
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
200 shares @ 18.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$33.00
$-3.00
- YES
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?
30 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$30.00
$18.90
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
74 shares @ 54.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.96
$-27.04
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
82 shares @ 36.4¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.19
$-23.81
- YES
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
325 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.44
$-47.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$20.11Jun 15, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)$10.24Jun 15, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)$10.23Jun 15, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?$43.90Jun 4, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$20.72Jun 4, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$30.91Jun 2, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$96.52Jun 2, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$100.91Jun 2, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-22?$100.36Jun 2, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.00Jun 2, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.00Jun 2, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 2, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$205.76Jun 2, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$400.00Jun 2, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$499.99Jun 2, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$50.28May 29, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?$200.43May 29, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?$200.48May 27, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?$6.94May 25, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?$5.20May 25, 20:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $90.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 01:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 04:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.