Fussy-Mechanic
0x9b09ebac632840597083f9054565a4ffe66671f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$123.91
Total PnL
$-540.44
Realised
$-35.06
Win rate
0%
70 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- YES
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
189 shares @ 16.4¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.81
$-10.19
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
71 shares @ 21.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.29
$-0.71
- YES
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
31 shares @ 65.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.69
$-6.31
- YES
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?
22 shares @ 45.1¢·now 57.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$12.65
$2.65
- YES
Discord IPO before 2027?
42 shares @ 36.1¢·now 29.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.36
$-2.64
- YES
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?
18 shares @ 56.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$10.89
$0.89
- YES
SHEIN IPO before 2027?
11 shares @ 92.4¢·now 98.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.66
$0.66
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?
29 shares @ 35.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$8.57
$-1.43
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.32
$-4.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?$10.26Aug 17, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?$5.05Aug 17, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?$10.22Aug 17, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?$10.18Aug 17, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$25.43Aug 17, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic IPO before 2027?$50.45Aug 17, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$61.14Aug 17, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$20.32Aug 4, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$20.38Jul 31, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$3.17Jul 31, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.03Jul 31, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: July$12.24Jul 29, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: July$10.00Jul 28, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?$20.00Jul 28, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$10.16Jul 28, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$10.16Jul 28, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYCuban regime falls in 2026?$20.00Jul 28, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?$3.73Jul 28, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$20.36Jul 27, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$10.36Jul 27, 16:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 70 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
70 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $14.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 17:38 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 20:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 70 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.