Hasty-Worker
0x9b129ad05bc0a8df3c73dfcc66fe75252daec2d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
116
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$800.67
Realised
$1.3K
Win rate
85%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 116- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 11?
236 shares @ 82.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$212.70
$18.91
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 11?
209 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$207.60
$-0.73
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 11?
209 shares @ 0.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$205.93
$205.93
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 11?
205 shares @ 95.9¢·now 95.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$195.88
$-0.82
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?
174 shares @ 40.9¢·now 45.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$78.23
$7.03
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 11?
56 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$56.04
$0.25
- NO
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
64 shares @ 70.8¢·now 65.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.57
$-3.73
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 11?
209 shares @ 0.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$37.57
$37.57
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
61 shares @ 59.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$34.97
$-0.91
- NO
Will “Saturday Night Live” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?
21 shares @ 0.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$20.39
$20.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?$0.05Aug 10, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 11?$5.13Aug 10, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 11?$4.77Aug 10, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 11?$24.73Aug 10, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 11?$5.99Aug 10, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 11?$9.00Aug 10, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?$2.21Aug 10, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 11?$3.08Aug 10, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$6.03Aug 10, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$19.99Aug 10, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$11.48Aug 10, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$11.22Aug 10, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$99.56Aug 10, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 11?$12.35Aug 10, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C or below on August 11?$8.08Aug 10, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 10?$4.56Aug 10, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 10?$2.50Aug 10, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on August 10?$5.68Aug 10, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on August 10?$0.42Aug 10, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$67.99Aug 10, 18:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
48/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
85% win rate over 26 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
26 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $9.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 18:06 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 18:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.