Skeletal-Hardware
0x9b27c49d0c0762c7f3e2dc7b4ba6d907d4d44100
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$6.8K
Total PnL
$87.37
Realised
$82.22
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?
4281 shares @ 77.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.1K
$-192.62
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1280 shares @ 92.1¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$53.52
- NO
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?
967 shares @ 88.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$816.73
$-33.83
- NO
Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026?
611 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$580.87
$36.80
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
560 shares @ 87.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$523.60
$36.40
- NO
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B?
174 shares @ 69.3¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$163.92
$43.15
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?
118 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$112.44
$6.48
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?
115 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$111.42
$5.96
- NO
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?
63 shares @ 87.0¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$59.47
$4.52
- NO
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
41 shares @ 18.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$30.14
$22.75
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.13Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.18Jul 22, 15:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.16Jul 21, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.42Jul 21, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.75Jul 21, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.55Jul 21, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.72Jul 21, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.59Jul 21, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?$4.46Jul 21, 20:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.36Jul 21, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.78Jul 21, 07:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?$4.15Jul 20, 17:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $87.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 11:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.