Lonely-Instrumentalist
0x9b3834b648e0cc3d264f8f30bad04e98a81b4957
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$31.89
Total PnL
$-141.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$11.39
$1.39
- NO
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$10.50
$0.50
- NO
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?
13 shares @ 75.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$10.00
$0.00
- NO
MegaETH FDV above $500M one day after launch?
611 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-12.81
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?
208 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
180 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?
111 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
102 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times March 14-21?
84 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
70 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$30.00Apr 27, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$10.00Apr 27, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.17Apr 26, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.17Apr 26, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.11Apr 26, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.18Apr 25, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.23Apr 25, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.20Apr 25, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.31Apr 25, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.23Apr 25, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.18Apr 25, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.14Apr 25, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.27Apr 25, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.09Apr 25, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.22Apr 25, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.21Apr 25, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.06Apr 24, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.22Apr 24, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.22Apr 24, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.11Apr 23, 18:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $13.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 02:59 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 06:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.