Vague-Fairness
0x9b47e92a71395c03cef0cf273d35ec2279ae9930
Quality score
74/100
Open positions
45
Open notional
$662.02
Total PnL
$-412.94
Realised
$-171.29
Win rate
48%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- NO
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?
447 shares @ 73.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$382.19
$55.87
- NO
Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?
409 shares @ 31.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$116.52
$-10.27
- NO
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
141 shares @ 68.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$113.50
$17.62
- NO
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
24 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$23.96
$0.92
- YES
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
90 shares @ 17.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.15
$-3.15
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
24 shares @ 62.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.65
$-6.25
- YES
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
106 shares @ 0.7¢·now 1.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.43
$0.73
- YES
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 5?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$0.95
$0.05
- YES
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
1 shares @ 8.0¢·now 57.1¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$0.57
$0.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?$126.792d ago
- TRADESELLWill Marta Barbará as Kaoruko Waguri (The Fragrant Flower Blooms With Dignity) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Castilian Spanish) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$437.344d ago
- TRADESELLWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$15.935d ago
- TRADESELLWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$86.135d ago
- TRADESELLWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$68.855d ago
- TRADESELLWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$334.9014d ago
- TRADESELLWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$30.6014d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$365.5015d ago
- TRADESELLFed emergency rate cut before 2027?$1.4016d ago
- TRADESELLWill there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$161.8816d ago
- TRADESELLWill there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$202.9216d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$164.5818d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Marta Barbará as Kaoruko Waguri (The Fragrant Flower Blooms With Dignity) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Castilian Spanish) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$520.0818d ago
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$100.0018d ago
- TRADESELLWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$289.3426d ago
- TRADESELLWill Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-04-18?$140.0426d ago
- TRADESELLWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$11.2526d ago
- TRADESELLWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$6.0026d ago
- TRADESELLWill Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026$137.7026d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$231.8427d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $182.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 42d ago
- Last active
- 2d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.