Fragrant-Trousers
0x9b7e472070eeb44fb660b50e4ff6bd2f57c8ed19
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$23.25
Total PnL
$-22.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- KNICKS
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
3 shares @ 68.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.62
$0.62
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
12 shares @ 25.2¢·now 21.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.58
$-0.42
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
3 shares @ 63.2¢·now 68.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.16
$0.16
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 36.9¢·now 39.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
8 shares @ 24.4¢·now 24.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 11.5¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.46
$0.46
- YES
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp May 7, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYVictor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5$1.022h ago
- TRADEBUYDe'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5$1.022h ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-6.5)$5.072h ago
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.552h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?$3.0024d ago
- TRADESELLWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$7.7124d ago
- TRADESELLWill Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?$5.7424d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Iran" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$1.6426d ago
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?$0.0026d ago
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$0.0026d ago
- REDEEMWill the 2026 State of the Union address be between 90 and 100 minutes long?$0.0026d ago
- REDEEMWill USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$0.0026d ago
- REDEEMWill Daniel Berger finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Valero Texas Open?$0.0026d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Jesus Christ" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$0.0026d ago
- REDEEMWill Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?$0.0026d ago
- REDEEMAkron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders$0.0026d ago
- REDEEMWill Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.0026d ago
- REDEEMVanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers$0.0026d ago
- REDEEMWild vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5$0.0026d ago
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.0032d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 47d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
