Lawful-Heritage
0x9c0c8986a296f539a43efdaefd9a1a838cb4d6ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$56.7K
Total PnL
$5.5K
Realised
$1.0K
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
15872 shares @ 73.6¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.2K
$3.6K
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
9063 shares @ 80.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.8K
$1.5K
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
7367 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.0K
$257.84
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
7562 shares @ 90.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.8K
$4.42
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
7030 shares @ 78.7¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.7K
$1.2K
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
4521 shares @ 88.5¢·now 96.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.3K
$345.06
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
4064 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.8K
$39.66
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?
3354 shares @ 89.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.2K
$203.48
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3692 shares @ 26.4¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$740.33
$-232.65
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?
8065 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
Recent activity
- YIELD$5.05Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$5.04Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$5.04Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$5.04Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$5.05Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$5.05Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$5.05Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$5.05Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$5.05Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?$965.51Jul 21, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?$965.58Jul 21, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?$30.19Jul 21, 14:59 UTC
- YIELD$5.06Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$5.06Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$5.06Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$5.07Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$5.07Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$5.06Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?$406.60Jul 14, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$384.49Jul 14, 14:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 15:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.