Boring-Yoga
0x9c454d71347770e1504c8f0abf805848d59c19cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$2.44
Total PnL
$-675.04
Realised
$-6.18
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 16.0¢·now 25.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.44
$0.88
- YES
Will T1 win VCT 2026: Pacific League Stage 1?
600 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-285.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
200 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-49.88
- YES
Will Eternal Fire win VCT 2026: EMEA League Stage 1?
194 shares @ 36.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-70.82
- COASTAL CAROLINA
East Carolina vs. Coastal Carolina
138 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- TULSA
Navy vs. Tulsa
132 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
128 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- APPALACHIAN STATE
Appalachian State vs. Southern Mississippi
100 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-52.00
- SOUTH CAROLINA
Vanderbilt vs. South Carolina
70 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-47.00
- NOTRE DAME
Texas A&M vs. Notre Dame
63 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?$1.3KJul 1, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?$1.3KJun 3, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?$8.93May 22, 23:05 UTC
- REWARD$0.32May 18, 10:17 UTC
- REWARD$0.29May 18, 10:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.57May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$0.65May 17, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$25.00May 17, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$5.36May 17, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.15May 17, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$0.88May 17, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$57.99May 17, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$115.78May 17, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$6.18May 17, 10:32 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$9.32May 17, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$14.93May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$97.29May 16, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.67May 16, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$44.88May 16, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$0.18May 16, 21:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $61.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 15:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 06:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.