Short-Address
0x9c47406eea9d9d10991666d0d76552e369b63195
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$14.61
Total PnL
$-5.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
92 shares @ 3.2¢·now 4.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$4.35
$1.35
- NO
Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
3 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$3.17
$0.17
- NO
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
1 shares @ 93.5¢·now 95.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1 shares @ 91.1¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
1 shares @ 94.6¢·now 95.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
7 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$2.22May 16, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$2.50May 16, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00May 8, 23:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.05May 8, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$2.01May 8, 23:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$1.02May 8, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.01May 8, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$2.02May 8, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.00May 8, 23:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?$2.25Mar 19, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00Mar 15, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$5.00Mar 1, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$5.88Mar 1, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00Feb 26, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00Feb 23, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00Feb 23, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$1.12Feb 23, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$1.10Feb 23, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$2.07Feb 21, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$2.00Feb 19, 20:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 17:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 23:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".