0x9cb14dfb034667573d55d3a6615f1a2cda00ec7c
0x9cb14dfb034667573d55d3a6615f1a2cda00ec7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$34.63
Total PnL
$-80.65
Realised
$-47.03
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$11.47
$1.57
- NO
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
9 shares @ 75.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$8.33
$1.72
- NO
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
8 shares @ 68.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$7.66
$2.42
- NO
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
8 shares @ 68.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$7.16
$1.95
- JACK KENNEDY
Savannah: Jack Kennedy vs Nishesh Basavareddy
2232 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.70
- CHICAGO CUBS
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
260 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-7.81
- MINNESOTA TWINS
Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays
197 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-7.88
- MULTAN SULTANS
Pakistan Super League: Islamabad United vs Multan Sultans
78 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-7.05
- YES
Will the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win between 16 and 18 seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
45 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.96
- DOWN
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 27?
35 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?$5.24May 7, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on May 8, 2026?$9.04May 7, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on May 8, 2026?$0.50May 6, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on May 8, 2026?$0.50May 6, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on May 8, 2026?$0.57May 6, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on May 8, 2026?$0.50May 6, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on May 8, 2026?$0.50May 6, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?$5.21May 5, 23:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?$5.80May 5, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?$7.01May 5, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?$9.18May 5, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?$5.01May 5, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?$5.31May 5, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLKRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?$11.58May 5, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$6.61May 4, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win between 16 and 18 seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?$4.11May 4, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win between 16 and 18 seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?$2.85May 4, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?$4.86May 3, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?$5.04May 3, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYKRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?$10.50May 3, 04:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $5.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 01:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 15:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.