Bumpy-Gathering
0x9cf6c12ba5927d43e9297006a438d2af0af5559d
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$27.8K
Total PnL
$1.2K
Realised
$87.14
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 94.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.0K
$8.9K
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1683 shares @ 93.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.7K
$99.64
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 5.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.1K
$-8.9K
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
1073 shares @ 88.7¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.1K
$102.55
- NO
Will the Justice and Welfare Party (UCID) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?
1103 shares @ 97.9¢·now 95.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.1K
$-27.07
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
1000 shares @ 27.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$955.01
$682.40
- NO
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
763 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$756.35
$3.43
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
423 shares @ 77.4¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$416.02
$88.75
- NO
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%?
312 shares @ 94.5¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$307.32
$12.48
- NO
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?
262 shares @ 85.3¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$259.25
$35.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?$8.97Jun 14, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$1.79Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?$82.92Jun 13, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?$744.33Jun 13, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?$143.12Jun 13, 11:31 UTC
- YIELD$1.79Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.56Jun 12, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.93Jun 12, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.78Jun 12, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.69Jun 12, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.56Jun 12, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$3.03Jun 12, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$9.28Jun 12, 05:27 UTC
- YIELD$1.79Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$230.40Jun 11, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$370.48Jun 11, 14:58 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.93Jun 11, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$1.79Jun 11, 00:17 UTC
- REWARD$4.87Jun 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?$437.21Jun 10, 22:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $100.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.