Scholarly-Philanthropy
0x9d0fcace1b0b90ec907f5970f7bd3c900835b500
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$47.95
Total PnL
$3.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
19 shares @ 57.6¢·now 66.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.70
$1.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?
7 shares @ 81.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$6.59
$0.59
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 60.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.46
$0.76
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.58
$0.58
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
3 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
5 shares @ 39.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 19.2¢·now 21.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 18.3¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$1.169h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$1.011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 9?$1.071d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?$6.081d ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.011d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$3.462d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$4.212d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$4.012d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$0.002d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$4.442d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$4.032d ago
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$2.232d ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2.492d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?$3.083d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?$2.054d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$0.004d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$2.114d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$2.014d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$5.005d ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$3.005d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 12d ago
- Last active
- 9h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".