Short-Ordination
0x9d38f84351f8c61cb1096fe71789cc9712e2bdea
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$22.24
Total PnL
$-197.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
1119 shares @ 4.5¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.99
$-36.01
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
333 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.83
$-27.17
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?
618 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.78
$-7.22
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.64
$-7.36
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
12210 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-41.61
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?
856 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?
636 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?
605 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
581 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-18.61
- YES
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$33.21Apr 28, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?$10.00Apr 26, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$10.00Apr 24, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$88.48Apr 24, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$164.20Apr 24, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?$0.00Apr 24, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?$10.00Apr 22, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 22?$0.00Apr 22, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?$100.00Apr 21, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 22?$10.00Apr 21, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$0.00Apr 21, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 19?$0.00Apr 20, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?$10.00Apr 19, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$131.53Apr 19, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$46.74Apr 19, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$100.00Apr 19, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$0.25Apr 19, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?$10.00Apr 19, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$30.00Apr 19, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 18?$0.00Apr 19, 11:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $32.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 10:32 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 21:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.