Calm-Guerrilla
0x9d5cd1913a02035ee217d35b6dfad8f4ffbc46c3
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$728.02
Total PnL
$-174.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?
182 shares @ 55.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$180.45
$80.45
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
116 shares @ 86.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$115.00
$15.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
144 shares @ 69.4¢·now 58.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$84.28
$-15.72
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
78 shares @ 64.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.95
$1.95
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
63 shares @ 79.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.58
$1.58
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
182 shares @ 27.4¢·now 26.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$48.63
$-1.37
- YES
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
833 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$45.83
$-4.17
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
56 shares @ 73.1¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.11
$1.05
- YES
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
116 shares @ 43.1¢·now 36.1¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$41.89
$-8.11
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
255 shares @ 15.7¢·now 15.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$38.86
$-1.15
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0131m ago
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Iran" on the Will Cain Show?$14.098h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$101.228h ago
- TRADEBUYJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$51.888h ago
- TRADEBUYJames Comey arrested by April 29?$100.008h ago
- YIELD$0.011d ago
- YIELD$0.012d ago
- YIELD$0.013d ago
- YIELD$0.014d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$40.015d ago
- YIELD$0.005d ago
- TRADEBUYWeed rescheduled by December 31?$50.006d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$10.006d ago
- YIELD$0.016d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$99.996d ago
- YIELD$0.017d ago
- YIELD$0.008d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$117.859d ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$50.009d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$50.009d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $58.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 10d ago
- Last active
- 31m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.