Youthful-Parallelogram
0x9db459def31f7397e8362bf9970a699c7e1ba5cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$50.93
Total PnL
$-117.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
20 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$20.00
$4.80
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
10 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.00
$1.20
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
100 shares @ 6.9¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.20
$-0.70
- YES
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
5 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.00
$1.25
- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
5 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.96
$0.03
- YES
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
17 shares @ 29.7¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.53
$-1.47
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
6 shares @ 47.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.80
$-2.20
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.44
$-2.56
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
100 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.04May 14, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$15.35May 12, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$5.30May 11, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$6.90May 11, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out by June 30?$4.93May 11, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$8.80May 11, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$3.80May 11, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on May 5?$3.51May 5, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on May 6?$2.08May 5, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 4?$10.00May 5, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on May 5?$3.02May 4, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 4?$5.13May 3, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$9.09May 3, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?$4.17Apr 8, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$13.89Apr 8, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$5.00Apr 7, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?$11.00Mar 19, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 28, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$3.00Jan 14, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 14, 11:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $4.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 06:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 15:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".