0x9df6e9feb4c221045f6aebbba4122607669171c2
0x9df6e9feb4c221045f6aebbba4122607669171c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$83.05
Total PnL
$-382.43
Realised
$-29.66
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
28 shares @ 30.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$27.73
$19.19
- TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
9 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$8.97
$2.33
- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?
9 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$8.54
$1.88
- ST. JOHNS RED STORM
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm
8 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$8.00
$1.36
- NO
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$7.51
$4.81
- NO
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
7 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$6.89
$0.21
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
6 shares @ 28.7¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.32
$4.47
- NO
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 34.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.95
$1.55
- YES
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
8 shares @ 63.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.14
$-1.02
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
1 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.01
$-0.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNew Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?$5.16Mar 29, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5$6.66Mar 29, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Bucks$7.09Mar 29, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Bucks$6.66Mar 28, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jeanne Barseghian be the next mayor of Strasbourg?$8.88Mar 28, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Passion UA vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group B$6.66Mar 24, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$7.08Mar 24, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$6.66Mar 24, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 24?$7.36Mar 24, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 24?$6.66Mar 24, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-03-23?$7.40Mar 24, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 24?$6.68Mar 24, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 16.5m and 18m?$7.33Mar 24, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-03-23?$6.66Mar 23, 21:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C or below on March 23?$7.66Mar 23, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$3.33Mar 23, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$3.33Mar 23, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FOKUS REALITY (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #3 Group A$3.92Mar 23, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$3.33Mar 23, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$3.50Mar 23, 09:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $5.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 21:09 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 02:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.