Imperturbable-Spelt
0x9e369630b26263e45e6c9670ed0a19c002eb508f
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$4.3K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$110.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
943 shares @ 31.8¢·now 86.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$819.87
$519.87
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
815 shares @ 70.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$753.89
$182.72
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
820 shares @ 61.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$741.80
$241.80
- NO
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
480 shares @ 63.3¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$372.34
$67.95
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
406 shares @ 73.8¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$357.62
$57.62
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
385 shares @ 59.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$348.86
$119.76
- NO
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
282 shares @ 71.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$258.03
$57.81
- NO
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
238 shares @ 63.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$229.30
$79.30
- NO
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
221 shares @ 45.2¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$191.24
$91.24
- NO
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
598 shares @ 33.5¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$86.71
$-113.58
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Travis Grantham be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?$12.43Jul 22, 06:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
2/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 08:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.