Alert-Fob
0x9e6b7c77c06ebdbf2993be0ba1d02f785e6fb20a
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$136.76
Total PnL
$-213.40
Realised
$1.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
269 shares @ 19.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.53
$-25.47
- YES
EU dissolves before 2027?
730 shares @ 4.1¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.44
$-5.56
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
250 shares @ 13.2¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.70
$-9.30
- YES
NATO dissolves before 2027?
375 shares @ 8.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.69
$-13.31
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
209 shares @ 14.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.63
$-14.63
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.20
$-7.80
- YES
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
83 shares @ 9.7¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.21
$-1.79
- YES
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.23
$-5.77
- YES
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
580 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.32
$-18.58
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
8 shares @ 59.8¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.30
$-2.70
Recent activity
- TRADESELLAny US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?$3.05Jun 11, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$147.06Jun 11, 15:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$0.50May 6, 06:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?$0.08May 3, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 3, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 3, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 3, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 3, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 3, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 3, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 3, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 3, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$0.00May 3, 17:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $4.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 19:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 15:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.