Dazzling-Vibration
0x9e83bb2f4c950e887675af75e93c223824ffd667
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$7.69
Total PnL
$-6.84
Realised
$-0.06
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will "I Will Find You" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$1.31
$0.26
- NO
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.14
$0.00
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
1 shares @ 93.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$1.12
$0.08
- NO
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–$3.00 in June?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$1.07
$0.00
- NO
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of June 29 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$1.04
$0.00
- NO
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 3?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will "IF" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
7 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.38
- YES
Will Erik Seidel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.59
- NO
Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.56
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of June 29 2026?$4.19Jul 3, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?$1.00Jul 3, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of June 29 2026?$5.24Jul 3, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–$3.00 in June?$6.13Jul 3, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?$1.00Jul 3, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–$3.00 in June?$7.20Jul 3, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?$5.55Jul 3, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "I Will Find You" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$1.06Jul 3, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 3?$3.97Jul 3, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?$6.70Jul 3, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 3?$5.00Jul 3, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?$1.04Jul 3, 04:13 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.03Jun 26, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $650 in May?$1.06Jun 26, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill White House post 40-59 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$1.08Jun 26, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill MongoDB (MDB) beat quarterly earnings?$1.11Jun 26, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.13Jun 26, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill White House post 40-59 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$7.31May 28, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 40-59 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$8.40May 28, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $650 in May?$8.43May 28, 11:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $6.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 16:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 04:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.