Spherical-Joint
0x9e9ca55b02c795b08adeef6ac65299cca2a66216
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
67
Open notional
$5.97
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-33.79
Win rate
31%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
20 shares @ 34.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.10
$-3.70
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.26
$0.26
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 92.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
38 shares @ 4.7¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.63
$-1.16
- YES
Will "Copshop" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (February 10)
1719 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-91.94
- NO
Will "One Battle After Another" win Best Director at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
460 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-27.50
- NO
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
404 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-133.12
- NO
Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
402 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-13.40
- YES
Will Come See Me in the Good Light win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
389 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-23.80
- NO
Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?
364 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-61.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?$50.88Jun 8, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?$32.37Jun 7, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$10.00May 30, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$15.00May 30, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 20m?$34.99May 30, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top US Netflix show this week?$36.00May 30, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$84.00May 30, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$115.00May 30, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$140.00May 30, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$19.97Apr 26, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$6.80Apr 25, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$12.41Apr 25, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$4.63Apr 24, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$30.00Apr 19, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.07Apr 19, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$2.50Apr 18, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$1.14Apr 18, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$13.05Apr 17, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$3.60Apr 17, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$3.88Apr 17, 10:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $15.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 23:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 03:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.