Clueless-Polenta
0x9f126bf89d77763203cf3a70e1db71de14bf9305
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$118.02
Total PnL
$-859.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$71.43
$66.43
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.26
$13.26
- YES
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$14.93
$4.93
- NO
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-14?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$6.25
$1.25
- YES
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.16
$-2.84
- INDIANA
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)
1103 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-551.31
- YES
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?
655 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-104.85
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Thunder
305 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-88.56
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-04?
149 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-23.82
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?
147 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-85.28
Recent activity
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$5.75Feb 16, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?$12.50Feb 16, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?$25.32Feb 16, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Indiana (-7.5)$551.31Jan 19, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMRaptors vs. Pacers$551.31Jan 15, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Pacers$319.76Jan 14, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$9.00Jan 14, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$9.76Jan 14, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?$15.78Jan 14, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in January?$6.05Jan 14, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?$10.68Jan 14, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$3.50Jan 14, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$25.10Jan 14, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$30.00Jan 14, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$31.31Jan 14, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?$72.16Jan 14, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$10.59Jan 14, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?$13.84Jan 14, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?$16.17Jan 14, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLMamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$19.93Jan 14, 10:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $58.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 17:00 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 10:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.