Utilized-Sundial
0x9f3a09b1534d23cb56ab6eee50d9649084693b17
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-4.9K
Realised
$-107.81
Win rate
0%
37 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by a projectile?
470 shares @ 93.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$467.22
$27.22
- YES
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
165 shares @ 91.2¢·now 99.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$164.28
$14.28
- YES
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
165 shares @ 91.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$147.53
$-2.47
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
124 shares @ 80.9¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$115.96
$15.96
- YES
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
569 shares @ 22.9¢·now 20.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$113.73
$-16.27
- NO
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
111 shares @ 90.4¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.39
$2.39
- NO
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?
117 shares @ 85.1¢·now 84.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$99.57
$-0.43
- NO
Will Relay launch a token by December 31, 2026?
112 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$98.88
$-1.12
- NO
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
119 shares @ 84.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$98.21
$-1.79
- NO
Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?
116 shares @ 86.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$96.51
$-3.49
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?$113.22Aug 13, 00:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?$51.36Aug 13, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed be eliminated by a projectile?$85.22Aug 12, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed be eliminated by a projectile?$200.52Aug 12, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed be eliminated by a projectile?$50.17Aug 12, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed be eliminated by a projectile?$5.07Aug 12, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed be eliminated by a projectile?$100.39Aug 12, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kai or Speed be eliminated by a projectile?$0.38Aug 12, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed be eliminated by a projectile?$0.22Aug 12, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kai or Speed be eliminated by the void?$1.69Aug 12, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed be eliminated by the void?$5.23Aug 12, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?$50.07Aug 12, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?$50.10Aug 12, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?$50.30Aug 12, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed die to an Ender Dragon?$5.22Aug 12, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed be eliminated by the void?$3.14Aug 12, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?$50.29Aug 12, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?$100.55Aug 12, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kai or Speed die to a Warden?$58.64Aug 12, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed die to a Warden?$61.63Aug 12, 16:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 37 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
37 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $51.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 21:55 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 00:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 37 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.