Drafty-Jewelry
0x9f4b897e75cc6de3ea741d5c0ace40d3f56df9bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
81
Open notional
$5.7K
Total PnL
$-4.5K
Realised
$3.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2497 shares @ 45.1¢·now 47.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.2K
$59.24
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
811 shares @ 37.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$677.03
$377.03
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
964 shares @ 62.2¢·now 58.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$564.05
$-35.95
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1033 shares @ 48.4¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$449.43
$-50.57
- NO
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
662 shares @ 60.4¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$427.18
$27.18
- NO
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?
412 shares @ 97.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$396.05
$-3.95
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
543 shares @ 60.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$317.86
$-8.15
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
21590 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$313.06
$-86.90
- NO
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
329 shares @ 91.3¢·now 92.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$302.79
$2.79
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1220 shares @ 16.4¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$204.27
$4.27
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.18Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$20.76Jun 12, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?$101.78Jun 12, 14:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$103.18Jun 8, 19:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jun 8, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$102.65Jun 7, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$205.30Jun 7, 15:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$306.96Jun 5, 15:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$20.76Jun 4, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$61.76Jun 4, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?$406.34Jun 4, 20:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $265.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.