0x9fb1e6c67014b831f82eb737aa01a37856ea2706
0x9fb1e6c67014b831f82eb737aa01a37856ea2706
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$32.96
Total PnL
$16.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 31.6¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$26.29
$21.29
- YES
Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$2.22
$-0.78
- NO
Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$1.51
$-0.49
- NO
Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
3 shares @ 72.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$1.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$0.69
$-1.31
- YES
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$0.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.17
$-0.83
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$46.83Jul 20, 07:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$28.15Jul 17, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$97.46Jul 17, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLGTA 6 launch postponed again?$0.79Jul 17, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 17, 10:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?$50.12Jul 7, 14:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?$25.56Jul 6, 18:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
6 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $34.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.