Beneficial-Rope
0x9fe7d06e5b38480cfbd67711464d2bb7607d40a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
77
Open notional
$45.10
Total PnL
$-88.27
Realised
$-0.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
13 shares @ 46.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$8.54
$2.54
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
13 shares @ 39.2¢·now 49.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.31
$1.31
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
74 shares @ 6.8¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.29
$1.29
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$4.92
$-0.07
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
122 shares @ 4.1¢·now 3.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$4.09
$-0.91
- YES
Exact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 2 - 0 Club Necaxa?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Exact Score: CF América 2 - 1 Club Santos Laguna?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Aug 2, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?$1.03Aug 1, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?$1.02Aug 1, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?$1.00Aug 1, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?$1.01Aug 1, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-07-31?$2.50Aug 1, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 2 - 0 Club Necaxa?$1.04Aug 1, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: CF América 2 - 1 Club Santos Laguna?$1.04Aug 1, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CF Pachuca win on 2026-08-01?$1.03Aug 1, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?$1.04Aug 1, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?$1.04Aug 1, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-07-31?$1.03Aug 1, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atlético San Luis win on 2026-07-31?$1.03Aug 1, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?$1.03Aug 1, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?$2.39Aug 1, 02:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Patriot" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$1.41Jul 28, 20:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 19:08 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.