Slimy-Job
0xa03240ca54c23a3d3e8755d0a51054217af49299
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$315.98
Total PnL
$-14.77
Realised
$-13.88
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?
180 shares @ 82.8¢·now 89.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$160.25
$11.07
- YES
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?
95 shares @ 54.7¢·now 53.0¢·exp Aug 30, 2026$50.40
$-1.60
- NO
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
16 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$16.09
$0.02
- NO
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$13.02
$-0.07
- NO
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
11 shares @ 92.2¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$10.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
10 shares @ 97.2¢·now 97.8¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$9.97
$0.06
- NO
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
402 shares @ 4.1¢·now 2.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$9.84
$-6.53
- YES
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
10 shares @ 62.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$7.85
$1.65
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
30 shares @ 19.8¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.80
$-0.14
- YES
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
235 shares @ 4.3¢·now 2.4¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$5.52
$-4.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?$1.66Jul 29, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%?$1.24Jul 29, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?$0.40Jul 29, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?$0.00Jul 29, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?$1.04Jul 28, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?$1.04Jul 28, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?$25.36Jul 27, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?$12.18Jul 27, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?$26.11Jul 27, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?$1.69Jul 27, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.90Jul 27, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?$24.03Jul 27, 11:16 UTC
- MERGEWill Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?$44.44Jul 27, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?$35.42Jul 27, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?$90.00Jul 27, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$16.07Jul 27, 01:53 UTC
- REWARD$2.02Jul 27, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$3.85Jul 26, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?$13.15Jul 26, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$2.04Jul 26, 13:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $7.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 22:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 18:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.