Bitter-Cartoon
0xa0bca9bdd8540da95060ed1fafb78aa03835d428
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
160
Open notional
$37.5K
Total PnL
$-7.5K
Realised
$10.7K
Win rate
83%
84 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 160- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
3387 shares @ 81.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.0K
$190.34
- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
2832 shares @ 83.3¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$-94.61
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
2300 shares @ 56.6¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$204.51
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1606 shares @ 59.8¢·now 78.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$301.56
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
1321 shares @ 89.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$10.61
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
1500 shares @ 66.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$997.50
$7.50
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1000 shares @ 93.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$935.49
$1.51
- NO
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
1075 shares @ 87.9¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$913.47
$-31.71
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
2700 shares @ 36.7¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$877.50
$-114.49
- NO
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?
900 shares @ 95.3¢·now 97.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$873.90
$15.90
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$56.01Jun 13, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$142.23Jun 13, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$47.34Jun 13, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$29.99Jun 13, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$0.26Jun 13, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$3.41Jun 13, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$0.55Jun 13, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$1.91Jun 13, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$0.68Jun 13, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$3.30Jun 13, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$0.83Jun 13, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$0.67Jun 13, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$2.00Jun 13, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by June 30, 2026?$139.05Jun 13, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$261.00Jun 13, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$79.00Jun 13, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.03Jun 13, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.03Jun 13, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$79.00Jun 13, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.09Jun 13, 14:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $45.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 07:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 84 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.