Snoopy-Recipient
0xa0bcf066ba16d526ed482008762b3263600102e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$138.67
Total PnL
$-38.43
Realised
$-0.00
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will Paul Skenes strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?
29 shares @ 94.8¢·now 89.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$26.00
$-1.61
- YES
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
22 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$20.52
$-0.01
- NO
Will the Waddani Party (Somaliland National Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?
19 shares @ 93.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$18.55
$0.70
- NO
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
19 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.1¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$17.98
$-0.17
- NO
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
13 shares @ 94.7¢·now 98.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.55
$0.46
- NO
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
12 shares @ 89.8¢·now 88.6¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$10.58
$-0.14
- NO
Will John Mills be the Republican nominee for AL-01?
8 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 19, 2026$7.52
$0.17
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
7 shares @ 95.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.82
$0.24
- NO
Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?
7 shares @ 94.2¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.23
$-0.16
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
7 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.93
$-0.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Hamarkameratene win on 2026-03-22?$9.15Jul 22, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Ethiopian Citizens for Social Justice (EZEMA) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?$5.38Jul 22, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ethiopian Citizens for Social Justice (EZEMA) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?$5.11Jul 17, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?$6.00Jul 17, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamarkameratene win on 2026-03-22?$8.63Jul 16, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?$10.77Jul 16, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?$27.36Jul 16, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$6.33Jul 13, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Mills be the Republican nominee for AL-01?$7.35Jul 13, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Comey be arrested before 2027?$6.41Jul 11, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Waddani Party (Somaliland National Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?$8.42Jul 11, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?$10.88Jul 11, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$14.78Jul 10, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Skenes strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?$19.49Jul 10, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?$26.27Jul 9, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$7.61Jul 9, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?$11.99Jul 9, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?$4.50Jul 9, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?$5.63Jul 9, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?$14.21Jul 9, 12:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $8.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 04:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 21:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.