Ajar-Cartilage
0xa10b8c4f154fbbf1fda28563edf458914f798ec6
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$10.6K
Total PnL
$-12.2K
Realised
$-195.62
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
9562 shares @ 78.4¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.4K
$-89.30
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
5378 shares @ 31.6¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.3K
$-382.29
- NO
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
1411 shares @ 56.7¢·now 62.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$874.97
$74.97
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
1579 shares @ 38.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$355.26
$-244.74
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6250 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$146.88
$46.88
- NO
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
157 shares @ 95.8¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$140.91
$-9.09
- YES
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
417 shares @ 36.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$106.25
$-43.75
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
2948 shares @ 3.4¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$85.50
$-14.49
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
789 shares @ 19.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$75.00
$-75.00
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1266 shares @ 7.9¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.5KJun 13, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$930.75Jun 13, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$4.0KJun 13, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$1.7KJun 13, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$1.1KJun 13, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.2KJun 13, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.8KJun 13, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$4.9KJun 13, 17:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$800.00Jun 12, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$3.0KJun 12, 16:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by June 30?$100.00Jun 10, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$150.00Jun 10, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$100.00Jun 10, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$3.9KJun 10, 14:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 11:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.