Soggy-Repayment
0xa1bdb11bea3ed660701b1e394789d8a83d6f880b
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$374.02
Total PnL
$-117.14
Realised
$0.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
343 shares @ 13.2¢·now 24.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$82.49
$37.21
- YES
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
12035 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$66.19
$-135.39
- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
94 shares @ 37.5¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$58.75
$23.51
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
5613 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$36.48
$-13.66
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
706 shares @ 3.5¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$24.36
$-0.70
- NO
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
40 shares @ 51.2¢·now 51.4¢·exp May 16, 2026$20.58
$0.09
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
172 shares @ 14.7¢·now 10.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$17.20
$-8.08
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
110 shares @ 14.2¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.45
$-5.19
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
168 shares @ 5.8¢·now 5.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$8.65
$-1.07
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
149 shares @ 3.4¢·now 5.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.67
$2.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$4.14May 15, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$0.02May 15, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$3.60May 15, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$12.24May 15, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3.50May 15, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0.68May 15, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3.81May 15, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0.68May 15, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3.81May 15, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0.68May 15, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3.81May 15, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.08May 15, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$10.00May 15, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus outbreak by June 30?$1.05May 15, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$3.30May 15, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$9.11May 15, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$20.95May 15, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0.91May 15, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.13May 15, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$21.05May 15, 19:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 23:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 20:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".