Exotic-Tugboat
0xa214ed60f0b34337d40b56e8b0be0c68af222d44
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$238.53
Total PnL
$46.33
Realised
$39.42
Win rate
57%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
105 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$105.00
$2.04
- UP
Solana Up or Down - November 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
22 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$22.00
$7.48
- YES
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?
19 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$19.00
$11.59
- NO
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
28 shares @ 13.7¢·now 65.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.45
$14.60
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - November 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
14 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$14.00
$4.34
- YES
Will DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?
12 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$12.00
$5.04
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 21, 2026?
11 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$11.00
$6.60
- YES
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
10 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$1.70
- SYRACUSE ORANGE
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange
8 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$8.00
$4.08
- YES
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
8 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$8.00
$0.96
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill DoorDash report between 875 million and 900 million total orders in Q4 2025?$4.65Jan 16, 00:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DoorDash report between 875 million and 900 million total orders in Q4 2025?$3.41Jan 16, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DoorDash report between 875 million and 900 million total orders in Q4 2025?$2.43Jan 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DoorDash report between 875 million and 900 million total orders in Q4 2025?$4.59Jan 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$11.70Jan 15, 23:51 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$23.76Jan 15, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?$9.84Jan 15, 23:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?$19.44Jan 15, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?$9.68Jan 15, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?$13.60Jan 15, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?$17.00Jan 15, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?$9.68Jan 15, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUp Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?$2.76Jan 15, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUp Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?$0.23Jan 15, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$24.75Jan 15, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$12.24Jan 15, 23:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$5.28Jan 15, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$1.38Jan 15, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$8.70Jan 15, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$10.44Jan 15, 22:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 20:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 00:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.