Unnatural-Sailboat
0xa23e7b0611cb1f8a192b63ebecdc46898b7cb010
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$210.58
Total PnL
$-27.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?
108 shares @ 57.4¢·now 64.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$69.15
$7.15
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
87 shares @ 46.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$39.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
59 shares @ 33.7¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$31.12
$11.12
- YES
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting?
32 shares @ 92.6¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$29.71
$-0.29
- YES
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.59
$7.59
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
105 shares @ 8.6¢·now 9.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.58
$0.58
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
67 shares @ 7.5¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.30
$0.30
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
45 shares @ 11.1¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$5.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.72
$-1.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?$4.07May 14, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$3.26May 14, 03:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$20.00May 13, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$20.00May 13, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.03May 13, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.05May 13, 03:28 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$37.09May 13, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$10.09May 13, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting?$30.11May 13, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?$59.25May 13, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$20.00May 13, 02:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$98.33May 12, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$8.00May 12, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$6.53May 12, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.81May 12, 04:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?$8.29May 11, 06:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $17.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 01:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 03:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".