Complete-Osmosis
0xa2555bf6c3e8a81b4cd65063f02b728a85322ffc
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$906.10
Total PnL
$118.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
221 shares @ 52.6¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$146.67
$30.67
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
134 shares @ 46.9¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.34
$30.34
- NO
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
97 shares @ 62.7¢·now 77.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$75.45
$14.44
- NO
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
84 shares @ 70.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$72.49
$13.49
- NO
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
123 shares @ 57.1¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$71.70
$1.69
- NO
Kash Patel out by December 31?
113 shares @ 47.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$71.67
$18.57
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
76 shares @ 60.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$66.50
$20.90
- NO
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
155 shares @ 54.2¢·now 41.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$64.31
$-19.69
- YES
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
118 shares @ 32.3¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$43.59
$5.59
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
60 shares @ 65.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.07
$-0.93
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 22?$0.00Jul 23, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 22?$0.00Jul 23, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 23?$1.30Jul 23, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 23?$2.53Jul 23, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 23?$3.10Jul 23, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on July 23?$1.15Jul 23, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 23?$2.80Jul 23, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 23?$2.87Jul 23, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 23?$1.04Jul 23, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 23?$2.80Jul 23, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on July 23?$1.05Jul 23, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on July 22?$9.94Jul 23, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 22?$11.82Jul 23, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 21?$0.00Jul 22, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on July 22?$1.11Jul 22, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 22?$1.11Jul 22, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 22?$2.38Jul 22, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 22?$2.70Jul 22, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on July 22?$2.89Jul 22, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 22?$2.38Jul 22, 09:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $3.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 08:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 08:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.