Dearest-Spice
0xa35dfc3e33b9d34be452caa3d86ac9923ab75df9
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
93
Open notional
$134.11
Total PnL
$-433.91
Realised
$89.42
Win rate
83%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
500 shares @ 8.7¢·now 3.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.25
$-27.25
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
29 shares @ 51.1¢·now 50.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.71
$-0.29
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
17 shares @ 73.6¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.03
$-0.18
- NO
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$10.42
$0.42
- NO
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
15 shares @ 69.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.75
$-0.60
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.71
$-0.29
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
13 shares @ 75.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.00
$-1.00
- YES
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
17 shares @ 57.5¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.78
$-1.22
- YES
New pandemic in 2026?
125 shares @ 12.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.13
$-6.88
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
70 shares @ 14.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.35
$-2.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5.00Jul 20, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.18Jul 20, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$5.00Jul 19, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike 11 countries in 2026?$1.27Jul 19, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?$0.09Jul 19, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$10.00Jul 19, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$15.44Jul 19, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.21Jul 15, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$10.00Jul 14, 16:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike 11 countries in 2026?$3.02Jul 13, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike 11 countries in 2026?$4.39Jul 13, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$10.00Jul 13, 12:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-11?$5.13Jul 11, 21:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.58Jul 9, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?$10.35Jul 9, 04:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
77/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
30 closed markets, 83% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $5.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 17:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 08:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.