0xa36450e0a87bacd4f3e38a287ce2f3ec9a7b792e
0xa36450e0a87bacd4f3e38a287ce2f3ec9a7b792e
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-147.91
Realised
$58.19
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3000 shares @ 7.1¢·now 13.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$414.00
$199.84
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
400 shares @ 57.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$198.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
188 shares @ 50.0¢·now 91.1¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$171.70
$77.46
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
750 shares @ 19.0¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$107.62
$-34.88
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.00
$2.00
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
350 shares @ 30.1¢·now 25.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$90.83
$-14.67
- YES
NATO article 5 before 2027?
1007 shares @ 13.8¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$85.61
$-53.39
- YES
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
910 shares @ 27.2¢·now 8.9¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$80.95
$-166.53
- NO
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
100 shares @ 48.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$50.00
$2.00
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
75 shares @ 69.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$39.38
$-12.37
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$9.07Jun 13, 06:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$14.00Jun 12, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.64Jun 11, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.04Jun 11, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.00Jun 11, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.03Jun 11, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Jun 11, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Jun 11, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Jun 11, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.28Jun 11, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$7.00Jun 11, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.00Jun 11, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$23.00Jun 11, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$16.50Jun 11, 03:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$7.00Jun 10, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.50Jun 10, 22:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $12.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 20:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.